The results of the head-to-head matchups between Democratic candidates and Trump are straight forward: None of these states will be easily won by either party. All leading Democratic candidates have a slight lead over President Trump, but this difference is within our survey’s margin of error, suggesting a very close race come November.
Other results are available in our press release.
About the survey:
The survey was conducted by YouGov, and the poll in Wisconsin was conducted in partnership with the Wisconsin State Journal.
The samples of 1,300 in Michigan, 1,300 in Pennsylvania, and 1,000 in Wisconsin were selected and weighted to reflect the adult population in each state based on gender, age, and education.
The margin of error in each state sample ranges between plus or minus 3 to 4 percentage points.
This survey is the first of three in these 2020 battleground states that the Elections Research Center will conduct.